What to Know for Wednesday, February 18, 2026:

1: Social Security's trust fund nearing insolvency could trigger market crisis, economist warns

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  • The deadline: The Congressional Budget Office estimates the Social Security trust fund will run out of money by fiscal year 2032 (starting October 2031) — if Congress takes no action, a typical couple aged 60 today would face an $18,400 benefit cut at retirement.

  • The temptation: Instead of making tough choices like cutting benefits or raising taxes, Congress may try to finance Social Security's shortfall with borrowed money — but economist Veronique de Rugy warns markets would react immediately with inflation, not wait for debt to pile up.

  • The consequences: If Congress commits to a debt-financed path, investors could reprice U.S. debt right away, triggering rapid inflation and forcing the Federal Reserve into a no-win situation: hike rates to fight inflation while driving up debt costs, or tolerate higher inflation to avoid worsening the debt crisis.

2: Why your Social Security statement shows more income than you'll actually receive

  • The crisis: Social Security's trust fund is approaching insolvency and will soon transition to paying benefits directly from payroll taxes, meaning promised benefits will exceed available funding and cuts are coming.

  • Double trouble: Personal savings rates have dropped from 6.2% in early 2024 to just 4.2% by mid-2025, leaving households with no financial buffer when benefit cuts arrive — and each year of reduced benefits compounds with 2.16% annual inflation.

  • Action steps: Delay claiming benefits past full retirement age for an 8% annual increase until age 70, maximize your earnings now to increase your benefit base, and build dedicated retirement savings through a 401(k) or IRA to bridge the gap.

Source: 24/7 Wall St.

3: Still working at 65? This Medicare mistake could cost you for life

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  • The penalty: If you don't sign up for Medicare on time, you'll face a 10% surcharge on your Part B premiums for each 12-month period you were eligible but didn't enroll — and that surcharge stays with you for life.

  • The exception: If you're still working at 65 with qualifying group health coverage (usually plans with 20+ employees), you can delay enrollment without penalties and get an eight-month special enrollment period after leaving that job.

  • What doesn't qualify: COBRA, retiree insurance plans, and Health Insurance Marketplace plans do NOT count as qualifying coverage for a special enrollment period — if you have these plans, you must sign up during your initial seven-month enrollment window to avoid surcharges.

Here’s What You Missed on YouTube:

Check out our new YouTube videos for Wednesday, February 18th.

Where's My Check? 5 Reasons Your Social Security Payment Is LATE & How to Fix It TODAY!

Can Retirement Kill You?

This newsletter is for information only. Always confirm your options directly with Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, or a qualified advisor before making big decisions about your benefits.

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